Top areas of concern include repayment rates and higher levels of renewals and extensions, indicating some additional stress; and concern among bankers about an increase in forced sales, including newly purchased equipment that has lost significant value, he said. Good signs on the cost side, including fertilizer cost reductions, offer the most reason for optimism, he said. There have been some improvements that have undergirded a little bit higher income stream, Oppedahl said. Concerns still exist as the ample cushion of working capital from profitable years is shrinking, causing additional liquidity concerns. The bottom line really is key. Not just yields, but revenues minus costs, Oppedahl said.
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